The Fred Report – Monthly February 2026
It still looks like a decline in the first part of the year and a strong end to 2026. We are cautious, as the average decline in a midterm election year is around 18%.
The FRED Report is not authorized, endorsed, or affiliated with the Federal Reserve of St Louis and its FRED Economic Data.
It still looks like a decline in the first part of the year and a strong end to 2026. We are cautious, as the average decline in a midterm election year is around 18%.
Equities had a yearend rally. Key indexes such as Transportations showed strong improvement in December, suggesting the possibility that these could advance. We are a bit surprised that the market is broadening out – but this is bullish now and could bode well for 2026.
Breadth has improved in the last week or so – we had a Zweig breadth in April and could see another one in the next five days.
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