FRED Alert!

FREDAlert! Volume 5, Issue 2 December 9, 2013 This year’s tax selling list is more difficult than the previous years because the strategy, known as “The January Effect”, works best when several sectors have underperformed and have several good fundamental stocks with losses that will rally back sharply at the … Read more

FREDAlert! Volume 5, Issue 1 January 2, 2013 Downlaod PDF Version here We had several calls and emails on stocks and the “Fiscal Cliff” so we put out some quick observations. First, as we mentioned in the 12/31 Weekly Review: the market became oversold in ADVANCE of the resolution of the … Read more

FREDAlert! Volume 4, Issue 3 December 7, 2012  We wanted to put out our January Effect stock list, as the two best times to buy these stocks are the second and fourth week of December. There are two strong environments for the January effect trade. One is a strong up … Read more

FREDAlert! Volume 4, Issue 2 June 1, 2012  We have been, and are using ONE CLOSE below 129.40 as our “stop” to suggest the likelihood of a summer rally to new SPY highs for the year is likely off the table. So far, SPY has traded through that number but … Read more

  FREDAlert! Volume 4, Issue 1 May 18, 2012  Today’s market action has raised concerns, as SPY is flirting with the 130 area we have indicated should be a stop loss. What does this mean? First, the problem with a level like 130 during options expiration is that it will … Read more

FREDAlert! Volume 3, Issue 10 December 27, 2011 Tax Loss Bounce StocksWe wanted to refine our list of Tax Loss bounce, or January Effect, candidates. A brief description of the January Effect rules we use follows. First, the best environment for a successful January effect is a strong up year – … Read more

Given yesterday’s action, we have decided to publish a quick alert in advance of the call. Yesterday’s trading was a surprise to us, but has not turned us negative as of this writing. Further weakness could raise concerns, however. We will discuss briefly here, and more on the call at … Read more

FREDAlert! Volume 3, Issue 8 November 1, 2011 We are seeing a bit of market turbulence this morning. We think the following: (A): We showed resistance areas on various broad indexes and ETF’s weekly charts in Monday’s report, and these areas have held the market for now. This is not … Read more

  FREDAlert! Volume 3, Issue 7 October 04, 2011 This alert is meant as an addendum to the Monthly Review, as while that was in production the SPX (and SPY) have made the new price, and closing lows, forecast in early August, to complete the pattern and potentially forecast a … Read more

FREDAlert! Volume 3, Issue 6 September 21, 2011 We have had a number of questions related specifically to our forecast of an 80% chance the SPY will make a new closing low for this move. The question is: has the market bottomed already, and should advisors become fully invested at … Read more