The Fred Report - Mid Week Update May 21, 2025

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The FRED Report – Financial Research, Education & Data    

Mid Week Update  

Volume 17, Issue 38
May 21, 2025

Download PDF Version here

 

Update of Market View

The market is pausing in this area. We thought this could happen, as short-term indicators were overbought at the start of the week. Since stocks normally rally into Memorial Day weekend, we could see a choppy Wednesday and up Thursday and Friday. Traders should buy a down open Wednesday with the idea of selling the close on Friday. Traders should use their vehicle of choice. Investors – we could see more choppiness into June after this Memorial Day advance into June, but we still expect higher prices into July/August.

TLT (iShare®Barclays 20 Year Treasury Bond) is holding up ok given the Moody’s downgrade, but realize that on previous downgrades bonds rallied and rates fell. This is not happening this time and lends some support to our concerns regarding higher interest rates later in 2025. GLD (SPDR® Gold Trust) has rallied back above 302 but really needs a weekly close to maintain the uptrend.   

weekly_midweek_052125 weekly_midweek_052125

Other Points of Interest 

We have been asked about VT (Vanguard Total World Stock Market ETF). This is a strong ETF that would be a good addition to portfolios, especially for part of your international allocation. It has support from 106 to 100 and is fully testing resistance in this area. So far this is at slight new highs. The daily and weekly stochastics are overbought, and the monthly is in slight sell mode. We would buy this here and add on recycles, at least through summer.

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Fred Meissner is primarily responsible for the research in this report and certifies that: (1) all of the views expressed in this research accurately reflect his personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (2) no part of his compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or view expressed him in this research.
 
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