Research Piece: Gaps

 | 
author/source: Fred Meissner, CMT

Research Piece: July 2010 - by Fred Meissner, CMT

We have decided to publish a quick research note on Gaps as the recent gap on the SPY has generated many questions, both on the July 30, 2010 call and later via email. In addition, we will do the research piece for the August Monthly Review on gaps. We want to thank all of you who asked these questions as it helps me to help you all by showing areas where I can fill in some knowledge.

 

This area of the market analysis can be quite arcane, but in this case the gap is fairly straightforward, although it is much clearer on a bar chart vs. a candlestick chart. We show below a candlestick chart and a bar chart and the gap is clear and indicated by an arrow. Note that this gap is from the close of one day to the low of the next. Questions have centered around whether the trading on the day BEFORE the low close matters as the gap essentially happens within that previous day’s trading. The correct way to think about it is this: imagine we had a trading system that gave a buy signal on the close, and we put an order in to buy or sell at the closing price for the next day. In this case, you can see that an order did not get executed the next day, and for that matter still has not executed. So, it is a real gap.

 

We hear that gaps fill all the time. In our August Monthly research piece we will look at this more closely and use some actual examples. For our purposes here though, please note that we are looking for some pullback/consolidation in the market. A logical target to use for that behavior is this gap, as gaps do tend to fill. That is why I used that price area.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer:

 



DISCLAIMER: 
Fred Meissner is primarily responsible for the research in this report and certifies that: (1) all of the views expressed in this research accurately reflect his personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (2) no part of his compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or view expressed him in this research.
 
This report is for your information only and is not an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, the securities or instruments named or described in this report.  Interested parties are advised to contact the entity with which they deal, or the entity that provided this report to them, if they desire further information.  The information in this report has been obtained or derived from sources believed by Fredco Holdings, Inc. to be reliable, but Fredco Holdings, Inc. does not represent that this information is accurate or complete.  Any opinions or estimates contained in this report represent the judgment of Fredco Holdings, Inc.  at this time and are subject to change without notice.  Fredco Holdings, Inc.  or its employees, officers, directors, principals, agents, affiliates or adviser may from time to time provide advice with respect to, acquire, short sell, hold or sell a position in, the securities or instruments named or described in this report.
 
Fredco Holdings, Inc. does not have investment banking relationships with any of the companies mentioned in this report and does not conduct investment banking business, in general.  Fredco Holdings, Inc.  and its employees do not receive compensation of any kind from any of the companies in this report.  Fredco Holdings, Inc. , its directors,  officers, principals, agents, advisers, affiliates and employees may maintain a financial position in the securities mentioned in this report, provided however that no buying or selling  activity will be taken with respect to a security referenced in a report by such parties within three days of such report’s publication.
 
The information contained herein was prepared by Fredco Holdings, Inc., which is solely responsible for the contents of this report.
 
Copyright 2010-2024 Fredco Holdings, Inc..  All rights reserved. This report is a publication of Fredco Holdings, Inc.  located at 4514 Chamblee-Dunwoody Rd, Suite 112, Dunwoody, GA 30338.